Mike Evans has been the clear leader in this offense for weeks and could return this week—keep an eye out for updates. His average target share is elevated due to missed games.

Chris Godwin and Bucky Irving are out, so consider alternatives like Rachaad White, Sterling Shepard, Tez Johnson, Kameron Johnson, and Cade Otton.

Targets

Cade Otton hasn’t scored this season, but with key offensive injuries, both he and Shepard could be due for breakout games—Otton has scored against these Detroit Lions before.

Shepard may have an edge but hasn’t had a multi-touchdown season since 2020. He’s faced Dan Campbell previously, when Campbell was on the Saints' assistant coach under Sean Payton.

Tampa Bay’s receiving corps is uncertain due to Evans and Egbuka’s status. Tez Johnson is the most affordable option with high risk and reward. Kameron Johnson is steadier but plays fewer snaps.

Rachaad White has posted 18+ touches and 17+ fantasy points in two straight games. The Lions’ weak run defense (last in run stop win rate) should benefit White both on the ground and as a receiver. Jahmyr Gibbs is a solid but costly play.

Sam Laporta is a volatile option with some upside, so use caution.

There is genuine appeal for Rachaad White in the red zone, especially with Bucky Irving sidelined. With so many injuries in play, this feels like a situation worth banking on.

Ryan Miller is seeing roughly about 18% of snap share this season. Maybe you find a way to him if Egbuka and Evans find themselves off the field or as a way to get really different.

Tampa Bay uses 11 personnel 68% of the time in the red zone and chooses to pass over 77% of the time. The Buccaneers show a strong preference for passing in these situations. On late downs, they use 11 personnel 88% of the time, with an increased pass rate of nearly 93%.

Detroit employs 11 personnel 54% of the time in the red zone, passing only 60% of the time. On late downs, they use 11 personnel 87% of the time, with an 86% pass rate. Detroit is more comfortable leaning on the run, even in high-pressure situations.

Dalton Schultz and Nico Collins are solid options against Seattle’s capable but beatable pass rush.

Against Mike Macdonald’s 2023 Ravens as defensive coordinator:

- Schultz: 4 targets, 2 catches, 4 yards

- Collins: 11 targets, 6 catches, 80 yards

Among Schultz, Higgins, and Hutchinson ($5,200–$4,000), Schultz offers the best usage.

For salary relief, consider Jaylin Noel—a touchdown would need to happen to make him a strong small-field tournament play.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is Seattle’s clear WR1 and a strong MVP option, though fading him could differentiate your lineup. Houston’s defense is tough, but he’s still relevant unless they significantly limit him.

Jaylin Noel and Woody Marks have both caught touchdown passes and remain viable options depending on your roster construction.

Schultz and Hutchinson are similarly priced, but Hutchinson provides added value due to his greater efficiency, particularly with red zone targets.

Houston often operates in 11 personnel, especially in the red zone, where they use it nearly 80% of the time and pass on 77% of those plays. This preference continues on late downs, with 11 personnel appearing 86% of the time and a 79% pass rate.

In contrast, the Seahawks run 21 or 22 personnel around 23% of the time, favoring the run in those sets. In the red zone, they switch to 11 and 12 personnel, but their pass rate stays below 60%. When using 22 personnel in the red zone (19% usage), they never pass. This suggests the Seahawks are more run-oriented than most teams.

Still, when facing late downs, Seahawks turn pass-heavy, employing 11 and 02 personnel on over 65% of plays with pass rates ranging from 82% to 100%.